Estimating Life-Cycle Parameters from the Retirement-Consumption Puzzle
نویسندگان
چکیده
Using pseudo-panel data, we estimate the structural parameters of a life—cycle consumption model with discrete labor supply choice. A focus of our analysis is the abrupt drop in consumption upon retirement for a typical household. The literature sometimes refers to the drop, which in the U.S. Consumer Expenditure Survey we estimate to be approximately 14%, as the “retirement—consumption puzzle.” Although a downward step in consumption at retirement contradicts predictions from life—cycle models with additively separable consumption and leisure, or with continuous work-hour options, a consumption jump is consistent with a setup having nonseparable preferences over consumption and leisure and requiring discrete work choices. This paper specifies a life—cycle model with these two elements, and uses the empirical magnitude of the drop in consumption at retirement to identify structural parameters – most importantly, the intertemporal elasticity of substitution. Employing our new estimates, we simulate counterfactual Social Security policy reforms.
منابع مشابه
Preliminary NA for Quotation ESTIMATING LIFE-CYCLE PARAMETERS FROM THE RETIREMENT-CONSUMPTION PUZZLE
Using pseudo-panel data, we estimate the structural parameters of a life—cycle consumption model with discrete labor supply choice. A focus of our analysis is the abrupt drop in consumption upon retirement for a typical household. The literature sometimes refers to the drop, which in the U.S. Consumer Expenditure Survey we estimate to be approximately 14%, as the “retirement— consumption puzzle...
متن کاملChanges in Consumption and Activities at Retirement
The life-cycle model is used by many economists to study savings and retirement behavior. Th e central premise of the model is that individuals will save during their working lives so that they will have adequate resources at retirement (when wages are no longer a source of income) to maintain the standard of living they enjoyed during their working lives. Some empirical fi ndings, however, are...
متن کاملNo Retirement Consumption Puzzle–the Effect of Labour Supply on Disaggregated Life Cycle Expenditure in the Later Life
This paper examines the life cycle profile of disaggregated nondurable expenditures for Chinese urban households. The result shows that aggregated expenditure conceals substantial heterogeneity in the life-cycle pattern of expenditure subcomponents and underestimates the uninsurable permanent income risk that households face. Based on the observed empirical pattern, I test how much of the adjus...
متن کاملThe Retirement Consumption Puzzle in China
Using data from China's Urban Household Survey and exploiting China's mandatory retirement policy, we use the regression discontinuity approach to estimate the impact of retirement on household expenditures. Retirement reduces total non-durable expenditures by 21 percent. Among the categories of non-durable expenditures, retirement reduces work-related expenditures and expenditures on food cons...
متن کاملSome Answers to The Retirement-Consumption Puzzle
This product is part of the RAND Labor and Population working paper series. RAND working papers are intended to share researchers' latest findings and to solicit informal peer review. They have been approved for circulation by RAND Labor and Population but have not been formally edited or peer reviewed. Unless otherwise indicated, working papers can be quoted and cited without permission of the...
متن کامل